28/04/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
VIFK Vaasa vs KPV Kokkola Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
24%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
20%
Draw
23%
52%
Away Win
55%
42%
Under 2.5
41%
58%
Over 2.5
59%
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
47%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
VIFK Vaasa v KPV Kokkola — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
VIFK Vaasa
EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY
KPV Kokkola
EU Bookmakers 60%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+0%
0.51/1.72
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.28/1.09
-52%
/
-5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-33%
/
-2%
42%
Ball Possession
58%
9
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
7
251 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
419 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
VIFK Vaasa vs KPV Kokkola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
VIFK Vaasa and KPV Kokkola couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was KPV Kokkola at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of VIFK Vaasa vs KPV Kokkola?
VIFK Vaasa 1-1 KPV Kokkola in the Finland - Ykkönen on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for VIFK Vaasa vs KPV Kokkola?
Before kick-off our model rated an KPV Kokkola win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split VIFK Vaasa 28%, draw 20%, KPV Kokkola 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KPV Kokkola), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (KPV Kokkola)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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FİN2
More Finland - Ykkönen
28 Apr 2024