SalPa Salo 2-5 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.11
2-3 Goals
40%
2.08
4-5 Goals
27%
2.56
6+ Goals
13%
5.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.0pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-7.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 66%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.24/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.05
+20% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -17%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
297 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 522 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
0W-1D-1L
AWAY KTP Kotka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.07.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 6-0 HT 3-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
08.06.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 2-2 HT 1-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
2-5
AWAY KTP Kotka
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka ran out comfortable winners over SalPa Salo 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 48% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 52%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SalPa Salo and 4.00 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs KTP Kotka?

SalPa Salo 2-5 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Ykkönen on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated an KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 24%, draw 22%, KTP Kotka 54%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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