KTP Kotka 6-0 SalPa Salo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.96
Over 2.5
51%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
6.95
2-3 Goals
39%
2.19
4-5 Goals
22%
2.47
6+ Goals
11%
4.87
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.95 — our 28% vs market 10.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-13.8pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+11.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
30%
+18.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
70%
-18.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.39/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.62
+2% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +39%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
0W-1D-0L
AWAY SalPa Salo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.06.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 2-2 HT 1-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
6-0
AWAY SalPa Salo
52% Ball Possession 48%
24 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs SalPa Salo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka cruised past SalPa Salo 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 52% of the ball to SalPa Salo's 48%, shots finished 24-15.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs SalPa Salo?

KTP Kotka 6-0 SalPa Salo in the Finland - Ykkönen on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs SalPa Salo?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 55%, draw 20%, SalPa Salo 25%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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