SJK Akatemia 4-0 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.42
2-3 Goals
36%
2.0
4-5 Goals
24%
2.67
6+ Goals
15%
6.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.50/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/2.53
+13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Akatemia
1W-3D-0L
AWAY KaPa
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 0-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
04.02.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINYK
15.07.2023 KaPa KaPa 4-4 HT 1-3 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
06.05.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 5-3 HT 3-2 KaPa KaPa FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Akatemia
4-0
AWAY KaPa
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SJK Akatemia vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Akatemia cruised past KaPa 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had SJK Akatemia as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SJK Akatemia had 54% of the ball to KaPa's 46%, shots finished 23-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, SJK Akatemia had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for SJK Akatemia and 2.25 for KaPa.

What was the final score of SJK Akatemia vs KaPa?

SJK Akatemia 4-0 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Akatemia vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Akatemia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split SJK Akatemia 51%, draw 22%, KaPa 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Akatemia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SJK Akatemia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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