KaPa 1-1 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
32%
+11.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
31%
Away Win
43%
-11.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 46%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.91/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.79/2.79
+53% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -59%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
0W-2D-1L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINYK
15.07.2023 KaPa KaPa 4-4 HT 1-3 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
06.05.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 5-3 HT 3-2 KaPa KaPa FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
1-1
AWAY SJK Akatemia
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KaPa vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa and SJK Akatemia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was KaPa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, KaPa had 47% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 53%, shots finished 8-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, SJK Akatemia led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for KaPa and 3.33 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of KaPa vs SJK Akatemia?

KaPa 1-1 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykkönen on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated a KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split KaPa 44%, draw 25%, SJK Akatemia 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KaPa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KaPa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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