JIPPO 1-0 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.68
Over 2.5
33%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.9
No
64%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
40%
2.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.18
6+ Goals
6%
20.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 40% vs market 29.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
56%
+11.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
44%
-11.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
49%
-12.5pp
64%
BTTS No
51%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JIPPO EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.27/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.85
-85% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JIPPO
1W-3D-2L
AWAY PK-35 ry
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 0-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FINYK
28.10.2023 JIPPO JIPPO 2-3 HT 1-2 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİNKAK
21.10.2023 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 0-0 HT 0-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİNKAK
19.08.2023 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 2-2 HT 1-1 JIPPO JIPPO FİNKAK
27.05.2023 JIPPO JIPPO 1-1 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİNKAK
16.10.2021 JIPPO JIPPO 2-0 HT 2-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FINY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JIPPO
1-0
AWAY PK-35 ry
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH JIPPO vs PK-35 ry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JIPPO squeezed past PK-35 ry 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had JIPPO as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, JIPPO had 63% of the ball to PK-35 ry's 37%, shots finished 19-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PK-35 ry led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for JIPPO and 1.17 for PK-35 ry.

What was the final score of JIPPO vs PK-35 ry?

JIPPO 1-0 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykkönen on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JIPPO vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated a JIPPO win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split JIPPO 43%, draw 31%, PK-35 ry 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JIPPO), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JIPPO) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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