KuPS Ak. 1-3 OLS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 23 May 2024

KuPS Ak.
1-3 HT 0-2
OLS
📅23/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
47%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
19%
2.9
6+ Goals
7%
8.34
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.53 — our 32% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.0pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.4pp
47%
Away Win
60%
-13.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY OLS EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Ak.
1W-0D-1L
AWAY OLS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
28.08.2023 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 3-0 HT 2-0 OLS OLS FİNKAK
04.06.2023 OLS OLS 5-0 HT 3-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Ak.
1-3
AWAY OLS
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
POST-MATCH KuPS Ak. vs OLS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OLS beat KuPS Ak. 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had OLS as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KuPS Ak. had 47% of the ball to OLS's 53%, shots finished 6-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KuPS Ak. and 2.50 for OLS.

What was the final score of KuPS Ak. vs OLS?

KuPS Ak. 1-3 OLS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Ak. vs OLS?

Before kick-off our model rated an OLS win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split KuPS Ak. 24%, draw 29%, OLS 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OLS) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OLS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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