Mikkeli 1-4 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 23 May 2024

Mikkeli
1-4 HT 0-2
Jaro
📅23/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 26% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
13%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
17%
+12.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
47%
Away Win
59%
-12.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 62%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.01/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.65
+2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
215 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mikkeli
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jaro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2023 Jaro Jaro 0-2 HT 0-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
13.05.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
23.07.2022 Jaro Jaro 2-0 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
25.05.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİK
21.05.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 3-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
11.09.2021 Jaro Jaro 2-2 HT 1-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mikkeli
1-4
AWAY Jaro
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro cruised past Mikkeli 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jaro as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Mikkeli had 49% of the ball to Jaro's 51%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mikkeli had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mikkeli and 0.67 for Jaro.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs Jaro?

Mikkeli 1-4 Jaro in the Finland - Ykkönen on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 29%, draw 24%, Jaro 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✗ BTTS No
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