TPS Turku 4-0 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.29
2-3 Goals
40%
2.1
4-5 Goals
28%
2.54
6+ Goals
12%
5.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-9.9pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.1pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
33%
+7.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
67%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.18/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.89
-9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
3W-0D-2L
AWAY JaPS
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.05.2024 JaPS JaPS 2-1 HT 1-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
29.04.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-1 HT 1-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
18.09.2022 JaPS JaPS 4-3 HT 2-3 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINY
01.07.2022 JaPS JaPS 0-1 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
23.04.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-0 HT 1-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
4-0
AWAY JaPS
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku ran out comfortable winners over JaPS 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had TPS Turku as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, TPS Turku had 62% of the ball to JaPS's 38%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, TPS Turku had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for TPS Turku and 1.40 for JaPS.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs JaPS?

TPS Turku 4-0 JaPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 60%, draw 21%, JaPS 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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