Jeonnam Dragons 4-1 Cheongju FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.58
+2% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 12.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cheongju FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
311 Passes 454
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-0 HT 2-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
21.05.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 HT 0-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
02.03.2024 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
29.10.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-0 HT 1-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
11.06.2023 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
15.04.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-0 HT 2-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
4-1
AWAY Cheongju FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
335 Passes 374
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheongju FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons cruised past Cheongju FC 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Jeonnam Dragons made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jeonnam Dragons had 48% of the ball to Cheongju FC's 52%, shots finished 21-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Jeonnam Dragons and 0.83 for Cheongju FC.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheongju FC?

Jeonnam Dragons 4-1 Cheongju FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheongju FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 39%, draw 28%, Cheongju FC 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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