Budapest Honved 3-0 Kisvarda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Honved EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.99/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.73
-18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budapest Honved
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Kisvarda
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2024 Kisvarda Kisvarda 1-1 HT 0-0 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC2
29.04.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 2-2 HT 1-1 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
04.02.2023 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 1-1 HT 0-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
04.09.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-1 HT 0-1 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
30.04.2022 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 1-1 HT 1-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
05.02.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 3-2 HT 1-2 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budapest Honved
3-0
AWAY Kisvarda
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budapest Honved cruised past Kisvarda 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Budapest Honved found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Budapest Honved had 47% of the ball to Kisvarda's 53%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Budapest Honved and 1.33 for Kisvarda.

What was the final score of Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda?

Budapest Honved 3-0 Kisvarda in the Hungary - NB II on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budapest Honved win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Budapest Honved 37%, draw 28%, Kisvarda 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Budapest Honved) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Budapest Honved) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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