Birkirkara 1-2 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
7%
1/X
14%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +70% / +70%
4.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+150% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +95%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hibernians FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-0 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MALTP
14.12.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-2 HT 0-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
14.09.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
17.02.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-1 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
30.09.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
02.04.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 5-0 HT 4-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
1-2
AWAY Hibernians FC
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernians FC edged past Birkirkara 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Birkirkara at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Birkirkara had 53% of the ball to Hibernians FC's 47%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birkirkara had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Birkirkara and 0.50 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Hibernians FC?

Birkirkara 1-2 Hibernians FC in the Malta - FA Cup on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 49%, draw 29%, Hibernians FC 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Birkirkara), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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