Birkirkara 1-1 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
22%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+5.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
28%
-6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.18/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.65
+73% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hibernians FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
02.04.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 5-0 HT 4-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
05.11.2022 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
01.05.2022 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
19.02.2022 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
30.10.2021 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-1 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
1-1
AWAY Hibernians FC
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara and Hibernians FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Birkirkara at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Birkirkara had 50% of the ball to Hibernians FC's 50%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birkirkara had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Birkirkara and 1.17 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Hibernians FC?

Birkirkara 1-1 Hibernians FC in the Malta - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 49%, draw 29%, Hibernians FC 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Birkirkara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTP More Malta - Premier League
17 Feb 2024
16:00 Mosta vs Valletta Analysis →
18:15 Marsaxlokk FC vs Sliema Wanderers Analysis →
18:15 Santa Lucia vs Naxxar Lions Analysis →