Mosta 1-0 Valletta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
51%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.67
Over 2.5
34%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-1.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta EU Bookmakers 56%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.61/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/0.92
+124% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Valletta
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.02.2024 Mosta Mosta 2-1 HT 2-0 Valletta Valletta MLTAK
30.09.2023 Valletta Valletta 1-1 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
19.02.2023 Valletta Valletta 0-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
15.10.2022 Mosta Mosta 3-1 HT 0-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
30.04.2022 Valletta Valletta 2-3 HT 0-3 Mosta Mosta MLTP
05.03.2022 Mosta Mosta 2-2 HT 0-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mosta
1-0
AWAY Valletta
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Valletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta edged past Valletta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Valletta at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mosta had 48% of the ball to Valletta's 52%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mosta had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mosta and 1.17 for Valletta.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Valletta?

Mosta 1-0 Valletta in the Malta - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Valletta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valletta win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mosta 20%, draw 29%, Valletta 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Valletta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valletta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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