Mosta 2-1 Valletta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
3%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Valletta
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Valletta Valletta 1-1 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
19.02.2023 Valletta Valletta 0-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
15.10.2022 Mosta Mosta 3-1 HT 0-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
30.04.2022 Valletta Valletta 2-3 HT 0-3 Mosta Mosta MLTP
05.03.2022 Mosta Mosta 2-2 HT 0-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
27.11.2021 Valletta Valletta 3-1 HT 2-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Valletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta squeezed past Valletta 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Valletta at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mosta had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mosta and 1.50 for Valletta.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Valletta?

Mosta 2-1 Valletta in the Malta - FA Cup on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Valletta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valletta win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mosta 31%, draw 28%, Valletta 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valletta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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