Birkirkara 1-0 Sirens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.34
Draw
15%
4.34
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
30%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
70%
+0.9pp
15%
Draw
20%
-4.3pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sirens EU Bookmakers 14%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+7% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
474 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Sirens
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.01.2024 Sirens Sirens 1-2 HT 0-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
16.12.2022 Sirens Sirens 1-0 HT 1-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
19.08.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-0 HT 0-0 Sirens Sirens MLTP
13.02.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-1 HT 1-1 Sirens Sirens MLTP
24.10.2021 Sirens Sirens 3-2 HT 0-2 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Sirens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara edged past Sirens 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Birkirkara as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Birkirkara and 1.20 for Sirens.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Sirens?

Birkirkara 1-0 Sirens in the Malta - FA Cup on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Sirens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 71%, draw 15%, Sirens 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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