06/02/2024
·
22:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Marsaxlokk FC vs Swieqi Utd Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
39%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
78%
17%
Draw
15%
11%
Away Win
7%
38%
Under 2.5
39%
62%
Over 2.5
61%
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
53%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marsaxlokk FC v Swieqi Utd — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marsaxlokk FC
EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY
Swieqi Utd
EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+30% /
+30%
5.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
+73%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+100%
/
+150%
62%
Ball Possession
38%
17
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
2
8
Corners
4
473 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
193 · 67%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Marsaxlokk FC vs Swieqi Utd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Marsaxlokk FC cruised past Swieqi Utd 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marsaxlokk FC as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.
What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Swieqi Utd?
Marsaxlokk FC 3-0 Swieqi Utd in the Malta - FA Cup on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Swieqi Utd?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 73%, draw 17%, Swieqi Utd 11%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
MLTAK
More Malta - FA Cup
6 Feb 2024