Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 Sliema Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 34%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.69/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.51
-45% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +127%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
247 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.10.2023 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1-2
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Sliema Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sliema Wanderers edged past Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Marsaxlokk FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 51% of the ball to Sliema Wanderers's 49%, shots finished 5-12.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Sliema Wanderers?

Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 Sliema Wanderers in the Malta - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Sliema Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 42%, draw 29%, Sliema Wanderers 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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