Zimbru 3-1 CSF Balti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.1pp
29%
Draw
20%
+9.2pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
2.55/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.63
+34% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
478 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
5W-0D-1L
AWAY CSF Balti
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-2 HT 0-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
28.09.2024 CSF Balti CSF Balti 2-0 HT 1-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
04.08.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 4-0 HT 2-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
30.03.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 3-0 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
05.11.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-1 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
26.08.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 1-0 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
3-1
AWAY CSF Balti
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs CSF Balti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru got the better of CSF Balti 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zimbru as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zimbru had 59% of the ball to CSF Balti's 41%, shots finished 11-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zimbru had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Zimbru and 0.33 for CSF Balti.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs CSF Balti?

Zimbru 3-1 CSF Balti in the Moldova - National League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs CSF Balti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 53%, draw 29%, CSF Balti 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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18 May 2025
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