Botosani 2-1 Hermannstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 33% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botosani EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
2.07/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.38
-4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
20.7 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botosani
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Hermannstadt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.83 xG 2.40
47% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
348 Passes 385
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2024 Botosani Botosani 1-2 HT 1-1 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
10.08.2024 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 2-1 HT 0-1 Botosani Botosani ROM
19.04.2024 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
28.01.2024 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 2-0 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
04.09.2023 Botosani Botosani 2-2 HT 1-2 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
01.04.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botosani
2-1
AWAY Hermannstadt
1.46 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
246 Passes 275
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Botosani vs Hermannstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botosani squeezed past Hermannstadt 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botosani as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botosani had 48% of the ball to Hermannstadt's 52%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.46 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hermannstadt led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botosani and 1.67 for Hermannstadt.

What was the final score of Botosani vs Hermannstadt?

Botosani 2-1 Hermannstadt in the Romania - 1st Division on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botosani vs Hermannstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botosani win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Botosani 46%, draw 27%, Hermannstadt 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botosani) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botosani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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