CSMS Iaşi 0-2 Petrolul 52 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
35%
2.58
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.59
Over 2.5
27%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.76
No
64%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
14%
4.21
6+ Goals
5%
21.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 40% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
28%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.2pp
35%
Draw
37%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
73%
Under 2.5
59%
+13.8pp
27%
Over 2.5
41%
-13.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
53%
-16.7pp
64%
BTTS No
47%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrolul 52 EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.45/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.21
-2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
194 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 69%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.8 Crosses 20.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSMS Iaşi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Petrolul 52
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-0 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 ROM
26.10.2024 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 3-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
12.05.2024 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 2-0 HT 0-0 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 ROM
16.02.2024 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 2-1 HT 0-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
02.10.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-0 HT 0-0 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 ROM
09.02.2021 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 3-0 HT 2-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSMS Iaşi
0-2
AWAY Petrolul 52
2.20 xG 0.84
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
311 Passes 177
74% Pass Accuracy 63%
33 Box Touches 10
35 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CSMS Iaşi vs Petrolul 52
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrolul 52 got the better of CSMS Iaşi 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 35% / 30%) promised a tight game; Petrolul 52 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CSMS Iaşi had 61% of the ball to Petrolul 52's 39%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.20 to 0.84 — on chances, CSMS Iaşi could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Petrolul 52 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CSMS Iaşi and 1.33 for Petrolul 52.

What was the final score of CSMS Iaşi vs Petrolul 52?

CSMS Iaşi 0-2 Petrolul 52 in the Romania - 1st Division on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSMS Iaşi vs Petrolul 52?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSMS Iaşi win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CSMS Iaşi 36%, draw 35%, Petrolul 52 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CSMS Iaşi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSMS Iaşi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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