Inhulets 1-4 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
58%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
3.59
No
63%
1.24
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
38%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.7pp
25%
Draw
16%
+9.2pp
57%
Away Win
76%
-18.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
24%
+13.0pp
63%
BTTS No
76%
-13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inhulets EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 81%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
0.39/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/0.62
-47% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +20%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inhulets
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 6-0 HT 1-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
13.05.2023 Inhulets Inhulets 0-2 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
05.11.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 HT 1-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
28.11.2021 Inhulets Inhulets 0-1 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
24.07.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 HT 2-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
09.05.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inhulets
1-4
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inhulets vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk ran out comfortable winners over Inhulets 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Inhulets and 2.50 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Inhulets vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Inhulets 1-4 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inhulets vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Inhulets 17%, draw 25%, Shakhtar Donetsk 57%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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