Chornomorets Odessa 1-1 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
63%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.29
No
65%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.5pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.7pp
63%
Away Win
76%
-13.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.0pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 80%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
0.86/2.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.78
+25% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -20%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 3-1 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
02.03.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-0 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
20.08.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 3-2 HT 1-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
13.05.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-3 HT 0-2 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
06.11.2022 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-3 HT 0-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
19.11.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-6 HT 1-3 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chornomorets Odessa and Dynamo Kiev shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dynamo Kiev at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 2.83 for Dynamo Kiev.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Dynamo Kiev?

Chornomorets Odessa 1-1 Dynamo Kiev in the Ukraine - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 17%, draw 20%, Dynamo Kiev 63%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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