Dynamo Kiev 3-1 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.75
No
51%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
82%
-16.7pp
19%
Draw
13%
+6.6pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
32%
+16.8pp
51%
BTTS No
68%
-16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 8%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
2.31/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.03
+4% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Kiev
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-0 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
20.08.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 3-2 HT 1-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
13.05.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-3 HT 0-2 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
06.11.2022 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-3 HT 0-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
19.11.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-6 HT 1-3 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
03.12.2018 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-0 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Kiev
3-1
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
16 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev got the better of Chornomorets Odessa 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 16-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Dynamo Kiev and 1.17 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Dynamo Kiev 3-1 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev 65%, draw 19%, Chornomorets Odessa 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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