Texoma 2-1 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 18 May 2025

Texoma
2-1 HT 1-0
Union Omaha
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒05:03 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2025

Texoma vs Union Omaha Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
58%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
58%
Away Win
64%
-5.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.5pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Texoma v Union Omaha — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Texoma EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 69%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.65/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.65
-8% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
274 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 85%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
13.3 Crosses 17.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Texoma 2-1 Union Omaha — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Texoma
2-1
AWAY Union Omaha
1.53 xG 1.94
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
207 Passes 391
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Texoma vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Texoma edged past Union Omaha 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Union Omaha carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Texoma had 38% of the ball to Union Omaha's 62%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.53 to 1.94 — on chances, Union Omaha could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Texoma vs Union Omaha?

Texoma 2-1 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Texoma vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Texoma 20%, draw 22%, Union Omaha 58%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Omaha), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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