Portekiz 2-1 Çekya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro, 18 Jun 2024

Portekiz
2-1 HT 0-0
Çekya
📅18/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Euro – 2024

Portekiz vs Çekya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.59
2-3 Goals
34%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
13%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 30% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.85
1/2
8%
69.0
1/X
5%
17.3
X/1
14%
3.61
X/2
5%
12.5
X/X
15%
5.72
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
10%
10.1
2/X
6%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portekiz v Çekya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Çekya EU Bookmakers 19%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +75% / +75%
3.30/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.00
+106% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
442 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
– Crosses 13.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Portekiz vs Çekya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Çekya
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
2.16 xG 1.21
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
562 Passes 349
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2022 Çekya Çekya 0-4 HT 0-2 Portekiz Portekiz AVUL
09.06.2022 Portekiz Portekiz 2-0 HT 2-0 Çekya Çekya AVUL
21.06.2012 Çekya Çekya 0-1 HT 0-0 Portekiz Portekiz AVR
11.06.2008 Çekya Çekya 1-3 HT 1-1 Portekiz Portekiz AVR

Portekiz 2-1 Çekya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz
2-1
AWAY Çekya
1.85 xG 0.43
73% Ball Possession 27%
19 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 0
618 Passes 169
88% Pass Accuracy 66%
36 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portekiz vs Çekya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz nicked a narrow win over Çekya 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portekiz as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Portekiz had 73% of the ball to Çekya's 27%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.85 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Portekiz's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Portekiz had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Portekiz and 0.25 for Çekya.

What was the final score of Portekiz vs Çekya?

Portekiz 2-1 Çekya in the Euro on 18/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz vs Çekya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Portekiz 51%, draw 26%, Çekya 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVR More Euro
18 Jun 2024
19:00 Türkiye vs Gürcistan Analysis →