Türkiye 3-1 Gürcistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro, 18 Jun 2024

Türkiye
3-1 HT 1-1
Gürcistan
📅18/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Euro – 2024

Türkiye vs Gürcistan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.1
1/2
5%
57.0
1/X
9%
15.6
X/1
14%
3.78
X/2
8%
10.25
X/X
11%
5.01
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
9%
8.34
2/X
8%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Türkiye v Gürcistan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkiye EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gürcistan EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.16/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.00
-1% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +111%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Türkiye vs Gürcistan Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkiye
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Gürcistan
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
The Meetings
24.05.2012 Türkiye Türkiye 3-1 HT 2-0 Gürcistan Gürcistan HAZ
07.02.2007 Gürcistan Gürcistan 1-0 HT 0-0 Türkiye Türkiye HAZ
30.03.2005 Gürcistan Gürcistan 2-5 HT 2-3 Türkiye Türkiye DKE
04.09.2004 Türkiye Türkiye 1-1 HT 0-0 Gürcistan Gürcistan DKE

Türkiye 3-1 Gürcistan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkiye
3-1
AWAY Gürcistan
3.01 xG 1.37
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
511 Passes 379
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Türkiye vs Gürcistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkiye got the better of Gürcistan 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Türkiye as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Türkiye had 56% of the ball to Gürcistan's 44%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 3.01 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Türkiye had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Türkiye and 1.25 for Gürcistan.

What was the final score of Türkiye vs Gürcistan?

Türkiye 3-1 Gürcistan in the Euro on 18/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkiye vs Gürcistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Türkiye win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Türkiye 50%, draw 28%, Gürcistan 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Türkiye) ✗ Under 2.5
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