FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Jun 2024

📅18/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.91/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.64
-17% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +65%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
210 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FA Siauliai
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
08.10.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
28.07.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-2 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
27.05.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
07.05.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITK
08.04.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Dainava Alytus and FA Siauliai couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.17 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs FA Siauliai?

FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated an FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 29%, draw 31%, FA Siauliai 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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