Smouha 3-2 El Daklyeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 18 Jun 2024

📅18/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.85
6+ Goals
6%
28.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.45 — our 36% vs market 34.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.0pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY El Daklyeh EU Bookmakers 20%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.88/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.39
+92% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +41%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
16.1 Crosses 14.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
1W-2D-2L
AWAY El Daklyeh
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.01 xG 1.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
279 Passes 279
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2023 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
09.04.2023 Smouha Smouha 4-3 HT 4-1 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh MSR
15.12.2022 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
09.04.2015 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh 1-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
20.10.2014 Smouha Smouha 0-1 HT 0-0 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
3-2
AWAY El Daklyeh
1.96 xG 1.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
368 Passes 195
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 4
33 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Smouha vs El Daklyeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha squeezed past El Daklyeh 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Smouha as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Smouha had 64% of the ball to El Daklyeh's 36%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.96 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, El Daklyeh led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Smouha and 1.00 for El Daklyeh.

What was the final score of Smouha vs El Daklyeh?

Smouha 3-2 El Daklyeh in the Egypt - Premier League on 18/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs El Daklyeh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Smouha 53%, draw 26%, El Daklyeh 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smouha) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Smouha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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