Sakandary 0-1 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 18 Jun 2024

📅18/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
50%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 34% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.2pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
50%
Away Win
64%
-14.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakandary EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 69%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
0.64/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.73
-31% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -16%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
224 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
13.4 Crosses 20.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakandary
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Al Ahly
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.81 xG 2.35
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 Passes 424
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-1 HT 3-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
08.07.2023 Sakandary Sakandary 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
12.12.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-0 HT 2-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
07.08.2022 Sakandary Sakandary 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
06.04.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 1-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
06.05.2021 Sakandary Sakandary 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakandary
0-1
AWAY Al Ahly
0.62 xG 1.11
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
187 Passes 542
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sakandary vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly squeezed past Sakandary 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sakandary had 30% of the ball to Al Ahly's 70%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.62 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sakandary and 2.50 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of Sakandary vs Al Ahly?

Sakandary 0-1 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 18/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakandary vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sakandary 23%, draw 27%, Al Ahly 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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