Stjarnan 4-2 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 18 Jun 2025

Stjarnan
4-2 HT 3-2
Keflavik
📅18/06/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup – 2025

Stjarnan vs Keflavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
62%
-5.8pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.0pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.4pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stjarnan v Keflavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
3.40/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/3.00
+37% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 6.0

Stjarnan vs Keflavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Keflavik
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.42 xG 0.25
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
454 Passes 210
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.02.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-4 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
03.09.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-0 HT 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
11.06.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 1-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
18.05.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZK
04.09.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-2 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
16.06.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 2-2 HT 1-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan beat Keflavik 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stjarnan and 1.50 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs Keflavik?

Stjarnan 4-2 Keflavik in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 56%, draw 21%, Keflavik 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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