Grebbestads IF 4-3 Vanersborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 Jun 2026

📅18/06/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.8pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grebbestads IF EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 25%
-15% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
2.52/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.98
+20% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
368 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grebbestads IF
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
4 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 1-1 HT 0-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
23.05.2025 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 3-0 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
04.10.2024 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 2-0 HT 0-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
20.06.2024 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 4-0 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
14.08.2020 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 1-4 HT 0-1 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Grebbestads IF vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grebbestads IF edged past Vanersborgs IF 4-3. It was 1-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Grebbestads IF as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Grebbestads IF and 1.40 for Vanersborgs IF.

What was the final score of Grebbestads IF vs Vanersborgs IF?

Grebbestads IF 4-3 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grebbestads IF vs Vanersborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grebbestads IF win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Grebbestads IF 51%, draw 26%, Vanersborgs IF 23%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grebbestads IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Grebbestads IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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