Vanersborgs IF 2-0 Grebbestads IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+8.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.8pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Grebbestads IF EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
0.71/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/2.10
-63% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs IF
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Grebbestads IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
20.06.2024 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 4-0 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
14.08.2020 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 1-4 HT 0-1 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs IF
2-0
AWAY Grebbestads IF
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs Grebbestads IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF beat Grebbestads IF 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 40%) promised a tight game; Vanersborgs IF found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vanersborgs IF had 45% of the ball to Grebbestads IF's 55%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vanersborgs IF and 2.50 for Grebbestads IF.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs Grebbestads IF?

Vanersborgs IF 2-0 Grebbestads IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs Grebbestads IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grebbestads IF win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 39%, draw 21%, Grebbestads IF 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grebbestads IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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