IFK Östersund 4-1 Frösö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.17
Over 2.5
57%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.3pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.3pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
28%
+15.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
72%
-15.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Östersund EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Frösö EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
2.27/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.86
-2% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
462 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Östersund
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Frösö
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
12.06.2024 Frösö Frösö 1-2 HT 0-1 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
04.08.2023 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 0-2 HT 0-2 Frösö Frösö İSÇ4
07.06.2023 Frösö Frösö 0-2 HT 0-1 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
08.09.2021 Frösö Frösö 2-1 HT 2-1 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
09.06.2021 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 4-1 HT 3-0 Frösö Frösö İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Östersund vs Frösö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Östersund cruised past Frösö 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had IFK Östersund as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, IFK Östersund had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for IFK Östersund and 1.20 for Frösö.

What was the final score of IFK Östersund vs Frösö?

IFK Östersund 4-1 Frösö in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Östersund vs Frösö?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Östersund win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split IFK Östersund 56%, draw 24%, Frösö 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Östersund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IFK Östersund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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