Herrestads 2-0 Vanersborgs FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Herrestads EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 25%
+12% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +19%
2.03/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.65
-4% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
398 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Herrestads
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
19.06.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 2-1 HT 1-1 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
12.08.2023 Herrestads Herrestads 3-1 HT 3-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
15.04.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-3 HT 0-3 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
18.09.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 3-3 HT 0-1 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Herrestads
2-0
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Herrestads vs Vanersborgs FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads saw off Vanersborgs FK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Herrestads as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Herrestads had 47% of the ball to Vanersborgs FK's 53%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Herrestads had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Herrestads and 1.50 for Vanersborgs FK.

What was the final score of Herrestads vs Vanersborgs FK?

Herrestads 2-0 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Herrestads vs Vanersborgs FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Herrestads 57%, draw 21%, Vanersborgs FK 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Herrestads) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Herrestads) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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