Vanersborgs FK 2-1 Herrestads — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 19 Jun 2024

📅19/06/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.38
Over 2.5
64%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
33%
+3.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.5pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Herrestads EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.10/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.81
+23% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +88%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Herrestads
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
12.08.2023 Herrestads Herrestads 3-1 HT 3-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
15.04.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-3 HT 0-3 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
18.09.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 3-3 HT 0-1 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs FK
2-1
AWAY Herrestads
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs Herrestads
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs FK edged past Herrestads 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; Vanersborgs FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vanersborgs FK had 46% of the ball to Herrestads's 54%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Herrestads led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vanersborgs FK and 3.00 for Herrestads.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs Herrestads?

Vanersborgs FK 2-1 Herrestads in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs Herrestads?

Before kick-off our model rated an Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 37%, draw 22%, Herrestads 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Herrestads) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Herrestads) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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