Lucksta 3-1 Algarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 19 Jun 2024

📅19/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
16%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.61
Over 2.5
66%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
52%
+11.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
16%
Away Win
25%
-8.9pp
34%
Under 2.5
35%
-0.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
65%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.5pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucksta EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Algarna EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucksta
3-1
AWAY Algarna
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lucksta vs Algarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucksta saw off Algarna 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lucksta as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lucksta had 50% of the ball to Algarna's 50%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Lucksta vs Algarna?

Lucksta 3-1 Algarna in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucksta vs Algarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lucksta win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Lucksta 63%, draw 21%, Algarna 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lucksta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lucksta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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