CRB 4-1 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 18 Jul 2024

CRB
4-1 HT 2-1
Botafogo SP
📅18/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

CRB vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CRB v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.35/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.04
-7% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
18.7 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1

CRB vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.95 xG 1.12
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
248 Passes 371
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.08.2023 CRB CRB 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
29.04.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
21.12.2020 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
26.09.2020 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-2 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BR2
25.10.2019 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
27.07.2019 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-2 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2

CRB 4-1 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
4-1
AWAY Botafogo SP
2.14 xG 0.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
307 Passes 289
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CRB vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB ran out comfortable winners over Botafogo SP 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had CRB as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CRB had 51% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 49%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.14 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CRB had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CRB and 0.50 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of CRB vs Botafogo SP?

CRB 4-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CRB 47%, draw 28%, Botafogo SP 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CRB) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CRB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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