Operario PR 2-0 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.36
Over 2.5
29%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.33
No
65%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.8pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.5pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+1.2pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-1.2pp
35%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.1pp
65%
BTTS No
61%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.03/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.15
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
23.7 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Goias
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 241
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 1-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
30.07.2021 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
2-0
AWAY Goias
0.85 xG 0.51
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
288 Passes 303
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR saw off Goias 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Operario PR made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Operario PR had 48% of the ball to Goias's 52%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.85 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Goias led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Operario PR and 1.00 for Goias.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Goias?

Operario PR 2-0 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 37%, draw 33%, Goias 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Operario PR), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Operario PR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
18 Jul 2024
02:30 CRB vs Botafogo SP Analysis →