Barcelona SC 1-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.28
6+ Goals
9%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.63
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.85
X/2
11%
5.74
X/X
11%
3.67
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.58
2/X
7%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
1-1
AWAY Bragantino
0.89 xG 0.57
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
326 Passes 267
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 15
39 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC and Bragantino couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barcelona SC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 54% of the ball to Bragantino's 46%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.89 to 0.57.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Bragantino?

Barcelona SC 1-1 Bragantino in the Copa Sudamericana on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 41%, draw 25%, Bragantino 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barcelona SC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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