Hollanda U19 (K) 1-0 İspanya U19 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19 Women's, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.0pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-3.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda U19 (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya U19 (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.32/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.32
-100% / -100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.0
18.0 Crosses 21.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hollanda U19 (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY İspanya U19 (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 1.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
250 Passes 300
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 38
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2023 Hollanda U19 (K) Hollanda U19 (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 İspanya U19 (K) İspanya U19 (K) U19K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda U19 (K)
1-0
AWAY İspanya U19 (K)
0.91 xG 0.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 6
290 Passes 321
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 29
6 Crosses 21
POST-MATCH Hollanda U19 (K) vs İspanya U19 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hollanda U19 (K) edged past İspanya U19 (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was İspanya U19 (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hollanda U19 (K) had 46% of the ball to İspanya U19 (K)'s 54%, shots finished 6-5, expected goals 0.91 to 0.25.

What was the final score of Hollanda U19 (K) vs İspanya U19 (K)?

Hollanda U19 (K) 1-0 İspanya U19 (K) in the European U19 Women's on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda U19 (K) vs İspanya U19 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya U19 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hollanda U19 (K) 32%, draw 21%, İspanya U19 (K) 47%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İspanya U19 (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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