Portuguesa FC 1-2 Rayo Zuliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.81/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.68
-15% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 75%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
18.6 Crosses 15.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.41 xG 1.52
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
309 Passes 277
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 3-1 HT 2-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
21.08.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
20.03.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 1-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
1-2
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.67 xG 2.31
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
437 Passes 303
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Rayo Zuliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Zuliano squeezed past Portuguesa FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Portuguesa FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 58% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 42%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.67 to 2.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rayo Zuliano led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portuguesa FC and 2.00 for Rayo Zuliano.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Rayo Zuliano?

Portuguesa FC 1-2 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Rayo Zuliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 49%, draw 31%, Rayo Zuliano 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
18 Jul 2024
03:30 Metropolitanos vs Monagas Analysis →