FK Pardubice 1-5 Viktoria Plzen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.62
Away Pick
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.18
Over
51%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.08
2-3
42%
1.85
4-5
23%
2.89
6+
10%
8.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.08 — our 25% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice The Market 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Plzen The Market 75%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
0.45 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.71
2.48 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.76
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Great Defensevs comparable teams Weak
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.6
10.2 Crosses 30.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.33 xG 2.44
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 10
205 Passes 387
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 46
11 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
06.10.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
02.03.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-3 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
24.09.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 6-2 HT 3-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
13.11.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
06.08.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
1-5
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
0.14 xG 1.22
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
268 Passes 366
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW FK Pardubice vs Viktoria Plzen
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Viktoria Plzen ran out comfortable winners over FK Pardubice 5-1 on their travels. Half-time: 1-3. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.65, roughly 61%.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 4-15, expected goals 0.14 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for FK Pardubice against 2.33 for Viktoria Plzen.

FK Pardubice vs Viktoria Plzen Result & Final Score

FK Pardubice 1-5 Viktoria Plzen in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FK Pardubice vs Viktoria Plzen Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 18%, draw 26%, Viktoria Plzen 56%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✓ Over 2.5
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