Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 18 Jul 2025

Dinamo Moscow
1-1 HT 0-1
Baltika Kaliningrad
📅18/07/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Dinamo Moscow vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.94
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.05
X/1
15%
4.02
X/2
10%
11.55
X/X
11%
5.76
2/1
8%
22.45
2/2
6%
9.59
2/X
6%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dinamo Moscow v Baltika Kaliningrad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.86/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.18
+11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
18.8 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Dinamo Moscow vs Baltika Kaliningrad Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.51 xG 1.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
351 Passes 314
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-3 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
13.08.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
19.04.2022 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK

Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Baltika Kaliningrad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
1-1
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.50 xG 1.16
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
295 Passes 132
73% Pass Accuracy 57%
23 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow and Baltika Kaliningrad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Dinamo Moscow carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 64% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 36%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.50 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.00 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Premier League on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 57%, draw 23%, Baltika Kaliningrad 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✗ BTTS No
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