Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
East Kilbride beat Dumbarton 5-3 in the Scotland - League Cup on 18 Jul 2026. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 61% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.
Across their last 5 meetings in our records, East Kilbride have the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for East Kilbride and 1.00 for Dumbarton.
What was the final score of East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
East Kilbride 5-3 Dumbarton in the Scotland - League Cup on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
Before kick-off our model rated a East Kilbride win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split East Kilbride 67%, draw 19%, Dumbarton 14%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Kilbride), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.