Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
East Kilbride beat Dumbarton 3-1 in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 21 Feb 2026. Half-time: 3-0.
The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 62% and both teams to score was favoured at 64%.
Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dumbarton lead the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for East Kilbride and 1.33 for Dumbarton.
What was the final score of East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
East Kilbride 3-1 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
Before kick-off our model rated a East Kilbride win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split East Kilbride 53%, draw 25%, Dumbarton 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Kilbride), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.