Stranraer 2-1 Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartans EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.41/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.41
+2% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Spartans
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
22.11.2025 Spartans Spartans 0-4 HT 0-4 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
13.09.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 0-2 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
05.04.2025 Spartans Spartans 2-1 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
01.02.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
10.12.2024 Spartans Spartans 1-3 HT 1-2 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
03.08.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 2-2 HT 2-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer edged past Spartans 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Spartans at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stranraer had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stranraer and 1.17 for Spartans.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Spartans?

Stranraer 2-1 Spartans in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 30%, draw 28%, Spartans 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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