Spartans 2-1 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.23/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.69
-26% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stranraer
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
01.02.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
10.12.2024 Spartans Spartans 1-3 HT 1-2 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
03.08.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 2-2 HT 2-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
13.04.2024 Spartans Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
17.02.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-2 HT 1-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
23.12.2023 Spartans Spartans 3-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartans squeezed past Stranraer 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spartans as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Spartans and 1.33 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Stranraer?

Spartans 2-1 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spartans 41%, draw 27%, Stranraer 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartans) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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