Spartans 0-4 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.53
6+ Goals
8%
14.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.53 — our 27% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-1.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +5%
1.35/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.51
-30% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stranraer
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
13.09.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 0-2 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
05.04.2025 Spartans Spartans 2-1 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
01.02.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
10.12.2024 Spartans Spartans 1-3 HT 1-2 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
03.08.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 2-2 HT 2-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
13.04.2024 Spartans Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer ran out comfortable winners over Spartans 4-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Spartans at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spartans and 1.33 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Stranraer?

Spartans 0-4 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Spartans 57%, draw 20%, Stranraer 23%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartans) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartans) ✓ Over 2.5
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