Dumbarton 1-4 Forfar Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.02
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.59
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 28% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.34/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.03
-6% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 5.0
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Forfar Athletic
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
13.09.2025 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-3 HT 2-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
06.04.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
10.02.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-2 HT 2-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
16.12.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-4 HT 2-3 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
19.08.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 3-1 HT 0-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
29.03.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic cruised past Dumbarton 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Forfar Athletic made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dumbarton and 1.33 for Forfar Athletic.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic?

Dumbarton 1-4 Forfar Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 38%, draw 28%, Forfar Athletic 34%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✗ Under 2.5
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